In evidenza

Will Catalan Separatists Be the Downfall of Spain’s New Coalition Government? (World Politics Review)

Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez’s new Cabinet was sworn in last week, marking the official start of Spain’s first coalition government since its democratic transition in the 1970s. Sanchez’s Socialist Party won a general election in November but failed to secure an outright majority in the legislature. After weeks of negotiations, the lower house of Spain’s parliament earlier this month narrowly approved Sanchez’s proposal for a coalition with the far-left Podemos party, by 167 votes to 165, with 18 abstentions.

Alana Moceri is an international relations analyst, writer and professor at the European University of Madrid and the IE School of Global and Public Affairs.

In evidenza

Will Kurz’s Coalition With the Green Party Further Divide Austria, or Unite It? (World Politics Review)

When Sebastian Kurz, Austria’s conservative political boy wonder, and Green Party leader Werner Kogler stepped in front of the nation’s TV cameras to announce an unlikely new coalition government in early January, after months of talks, neither seemed very excited. The gaps between their parties were still wide, and the compromises many. Nevertheless, in the end, they had agreed on a governing program that emphasizes restrictions on migration and more border security, including a much-criticized ban on headscarves for girls under the age of 14 and preemptive detention for migrants who have not committed any crimes. There is also an ambitious if discordant goal to make Austria climate neutral by 2040.

Denise Hruby is a journalist based in Vienna, Austria, who covers politics, environmental and social issues. Her reporting has appeared in National Geographic, CNN, the BBC, the Guardian and The Washington Post. She’s a National Geographic Explorer and International Women’s Media Foundation fellow.

In evidenza

The Bezos Hack and the Dangers of Spyware in the Hands of Autocrats (World Politics Review)

The stunning allegation this week that Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman hacked the phone of Amazon’s Jeff Bezos, according to a report by United Nations investigators, may come as a shock to some. But for most people tracking the rise of Saudi Arabia’s de facto ruler over the past five years, it’s business as usual. From his disastrous proxy war in Yemen to the killing of Washington Post journalist Jamal Khashoggi in the Saudi consulate in Istanbul in 2018, the young crown prince, known as MBS, has demonstrated time and again his hubristic belief that there are no limits to his power.

Candace Rondeaux is a senior fellow and professor of practice at the Center on the Future of War, a joint initiative of New America and Arizona State University.

In evidenza

Being Out and Equal (WEF)

While openness about being LGBTI at work increases well-being and productivity, more than half of the community avoids being open about their sexual orientation and gender identity in professional settings for fear of negative consequences. What are best practices to create open and inclusive workplaces for all?

Speakers: Jill Ader, Geena Rocero

In evidenza

A Decade to Deliver the Global Goals (WEF)

The past five years saw encouraging progress towards achieving the Sustainable Development Goals in areas like child mortality, infectious diseases and some gender-related targets, but many other goals are falling behind. From fighting biodiversity loss to eradicating extreme poverty and hunger, how are leaders making good on their commitments to create a cohesive and sustainable world?

Speakers: Mohamad Al Jounde, Paul Stoffels, Sarah Kelly, Achim Steiner, Wanjuhi Njoroge

In evidenza

Senior cleric vows US allies trapped at risk of collapse (IRNA)

Tehran’s interim Friday Prayer Leader Mohammad Hassan AbuTorabi Fard said on Friday that assassination of General Soleimani, the commander of Quds Forces of the Islamic Revolution Guard Corps (IRGC) paved the way for another power, adding that the main pillar of US politics in the region has been collapsed while US allies feel the same threat.

In evidenza

Iran, China, Russia troika to ponder encountering Trump’s madness: Pak analyst (IRNA)

Senior Consultant at the Islamabad Policy Research Institute (IPRI) Talat Farooq strongly believes that China and Russia must partner with Iran to counter Trump’s madness with a calculated response.

In evidenza

The arriviste Democrats undermining the values of America’s traditional statecraft (Al Arabiya)

Barely a week after a US Reaper Drone eliminated Iranian Quds Force Commander Qassem Soleimani and his top Iraqi lieutenant Abu Mahdi al-Mohandes in Baghdad on January 3, US President Donald Trump retweeted an image depicting Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi and Democratic Senator Chuck Schumer in Iranian-style headdresses in front of an Iranian flag. The tweet read, “The corrupted Dems trying their best to come to the Ayatollah’s rescue.”

Mamdouh AlMuhaini is the General Manager of Al Arabiya and Al Hadath

In evidenza

Lebanon at a turning point (Al Arabiya)

Endemic and persistent corruption, mismanagement, gross mal-governance, and failure to address Lebanon’s economic, social, and environmental challenges have driven protestors to throng the streets amidst bank closures, payment restrictions, and foreign exchange controls.

By Dr. Nasser Saidi

In evidenza

Hezbollah gets its way with new Lebanese government (Al Arabiya)

Almost a month after being designated Prime Minister by Hezbollah and its allies, Hassan Diab unveiled his 20-member cabinet; to the majority of Lebanese, Diab is an utter disappointment.

By Makram Rabah

In evidenza

Libya’s Haftar moving towards a military victory as Europe pushes for peace (Al Arabiya)

General Khalifa Haftar and the Libya National Army (LNA) is edging ever closer to a military victory in the civil war even as world powers push the warring parties towards peace.

Cyril Widdershoven is a Middle East defense energy analyst and the Director at Verocy B.V., a consultancy based in the Netherlands.

In evidenza

America’s unconventional energy revolution a hard act to follow (Al Arabiya)

Horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracking propelled the United States into a state of energy abundance. These technological advances radically transformed the global energy landscape, granting the US the ability to effectively exploit untapped reserves of oil and natural gas. The unconventional energy revolution triggered a series of positive effects on US economy, foreign policy and energy security.

Sultan Althari (@Sultanalthari) is a Masters Candidate in Middle Eastern Studies at Harvard University’s Center for Middle Eastern Studies and Student-Affiliate at the Kennedy School’s Middle East Initiative.

In evidenza

Pentagon could start global troop rebalance this year: Esper (Al Arabiya)

US Defense Secretary Mark Esper suggested on Thursday he could be ready to start a highly anticipated global force repositioning this year as part of an effort to refocus the Pentagon on challenges from China and Russia.

In evidenza

No talks with Iraq yet on removing US troops: official (Al Arabiya)

The United States has not yet entered into talks with Iraq on the removal of US troops from the country, as demanded by the Iraqi parliament, a senior US official said Thursday.

In evidenza

EU condemns northwest Syria offensive (Al Arabiya)

The European Union on Thursday condemned renewed fighting around a rebel stronghold in northwest Syria, demanding an end to “unacceptable” air strikes that have killed civilians.

In evidenza

Russian strikes kill eight civilians in Syria’s Idlib: Monitor (Al Arabiya)

Russian air strikes in Syria’s northwestern region of Idlib on Thursday killed eight civilians, including five children, a war monitor said.

In evidenza

Saudi Arabia to host World Economic Forum Middle East Summit (Al Arabiya)

Saudi Arabia will host a World Economic Forum (WEF) “special meeting” on the Middle East in the Fourth Industrial Revolution in April, WEF President Borge Brende announced in Davos.

In evidenza

L’urgence est de rechercher une solution pérenne pour les Rohingyas (IFRI)

La communauté Rohingya reste cantonnée au Bangladesh, de peur de rentrer en Birmanie. Sophie Boisseau du Rocher appelle à une mobilisation pour aider Aung San Suu Kyi à garantir les droits de ces musulmans apatrides.

Sophie BOISSEAU du ROCHER, interview parue dans Les Echos. Propos recueillis par Michel De Grandi

In evidenza

L’électorat afro-américain et Joe Biden, un choix paradoxal? (IFRI)

Depuis les années 1980, le troisième lundi de janvier est un jour férié aux États-Unis —«le Martin Luther King Day»— pour célébrer l’anniversaire du célèbre activiste du mouvement des droits civiques dans les années 1960.

24ème épisode de la série de podcasts “Trump 2020” en partenariat avec et Time to Sign Off

In evidenza

Europe in the Face of US-China Rivalry (IFRI)

Le réseau ETNC (European Think-tank Network on China), dont l’Ifri est un membre fondateur, a consacré sa cinquième année de collaboration à l’étude de la rivalité sino-américaine et de son impact sur l’Europe. Fruit de ces réflexions, ce rapport aborde la manière dont 18 pays européens et l’UE tentent de trouver un équilibre entre les Etats-Unis, premier partenaire économique et stratégique, et la Chine, deuxième marché le plus important pour l’Europe et désormais une superpuissance économique ambitieuse.


In evidenza

Maduro invites observers from UN and EU to parliamentary election in Venezuela (TASS)

The press service of the Venezuelan Foreign Ministry said that President Nicolas Maduro also invited observers from Mexico, Argentina, Panama and the European Union to the parliamentary elections

In evidenza

Pakistani FM welcomes Tehran, Riyadh’s readiness for talks (IRNA)

Foreign Minister of Pakistan Shah Mahmood Qureshi has welcomed the recent statements issued by the Islamic Republic of Iran and Saudi Arabia expressing their readiness for talks to resolve disputes.

In evidenza

Inch Boroun a proper opportunity for boosting trade with Caspian Sea littoral states (IRNA)

Minister of Roads and Urban Development Mohammad Eslami on Thursday described border region of Inche Boroun as a suitable opportunity for promoting commercial and economic ties with Caspian Sea littoral states, saying that it requires a consistent and integrated plan for an all-out development.

In evidenza

America’s Debilitating Middle-East Obsession (Project-Syndicate)

US President Donald Trump once seemed to recognize that, as long as the US remains mired in endless wars in the Middle East, it will be unable to address in a meaningful way the threat China poses. But that has not stopped him from perpetuating the cycle of self-defeating American interventionism in the Middle East.

Brahma Chellaney, Professor of Strategic Studies at the New Delhi-based Center for Policy Research and Fellow at the Robert Bosch Academy in Berlin, is the author of nine books, including Asian JuggernautWater: Asia’s New Battleground, and <em=” “=”” target=”_blank”><em=”>Water, Peace, and War: Confronting the Global Water Crisis.

In evidenza

With Putin’s Proposed Changes, Russia Begins Its Transition to One-Party Rule (BESA Center)

Vladimir Putin’s proposed changes to the Russian constitution portend a shift toward one-party rule and lay out a framework by which he can continue to be a major power broker well beyond the end of his presidential tenure in 2024.


In evidenza

Israel’s Strikes in Syria Hurt Iran’s Purse (BESA Center)

Israel’s air force has been unrelenting in its determination to prevent the introduction by Iran into Syria of a massive supply of precision-guided missiles to be used against Israel. The IAF is also striking consistently and forcefully at Tehran’s attempts to establish a local Iranian-run weapons armament industry in Syria. With these efforts, Israel is forcing Iran to take these projects underground. That is an expensive proposition—and all the more difficult following the reimposition of US sanctions.


In evidenza

Europe distancing itself from the US while moving closer to Russia (Global Times)

German Chancellor Angela Merkel visited Moscow on January 11 and met with Russian President Vladimir Putin for nearly four hours. According to information revealed by German and Russian authorities, the atmosphere of the meeting was friendly, in contrast to the indifferent attitudes during the two leaders’ contacts over the last five years.

By Jin Feng

In evidenza

How to Turn Protest into Progress (WEF)

Anti-government protests fuelled by anger about inequality, corruption and political repression are paralysing cities and nations. How can movements transition from protest to political change more effectively?

Speakers: Craig Francourt, James Harding, Alicia Bárcena Ibarra, Micah White, William F. Browder

In evidenza

Closing the Disability Inclusion Gap (WEF)

While nine out of 10 companies claim to prioritize diversity, only 4% have specific programmes that are disability inclusive. What strategies and best practices can close the disability gap at work?

Speakers: Edward Ndopu, Molly Burke, Caroline Casey


In evidenza

How to Survive the 21st Century (WEF)

Nuclear war, ecological collapse and technological disruption pose an existential threat to human civilization. Join a conversation that explores the challenges of the 21st century and how to address them before it is too late.

Speakers: Yuval Noah Harari, Mark Rutte, Orit Gadiesh

In evidenza

The Sorry State of U.S. Election Security Makes Foreign Interference Inevitable (World Politics Review)

As the United States girds for highly contentious and consequential elections later this year, federal agencies and local officials remain woefully unprepared to deal with the high likelihood of foreign interference. The House of Representatives has passed three bills to address election-related vulnerabilities, but none has been taken up by the Senate, leaving gaping deficiencies in election infrastructure and the balloting process. A congressional appropriation of $425 million for election security, enacted last month as part of a broader spending package, will help local officials with urgent needs, but it comes late in the cycle and fails to create a permanent mechanism to fund election security. This means election administrators will most likely spend the money on quick fixes, like updates to existing software, rather than on long-term solutions.

Michael Carpenter is managing director of the Penn Biden Center for Diplomacy and Global Engagement and a nonresident senior fellow at the Atlantic Council. He previously served as a deputy assistant secretary of defense in the Pentagon, as a foreign policy adviser to Vice President Joe Biden, and as director for Russia at the White House National Security Council.

In evidenza

Russia’s Disinformation War Reaches Latin America, Challenging U.S. Influence (World Politics Review)

When a wave of popular protests erupted across South America last year, a number of officials in the region claimed the unrest was being promoted by a “foreign hand.” No one argued that the protest movements, from Chile to Colombia, were created entirely or even ignited by outside powers, but leaders like Chilean President Sebastian Pinera suggested the possibility that someone outside the region was pouring fuel on the fire.

Frida Ghitis is a world affairs columnist. A former CNN producer and correspondent, she is a regular contributor to CNN and The Washington Post. Her WPR column appears every Thursday. Follow her on Twitter at @fridaghitis.

In evidenza

Will Vizcarra’s Anti-Corruption Gamble Pay Off in Peru’s Elections? (World Politics Review)

Voters in Peru will go to the polls to elect a new Congress this Sunday, after President Martin Vizcarra dissolved the previous one last October, arguing that opposition lawmakers were stymieing his anti-corruption reforms. Questions about the legal validity of Vizcarra’s move were settled last week, when the country’s top court narrowly ruled in the president’s favor.


In evidenza

Greta Thunberg Is Right About the Climate Crisis. Now What? (World Politics Review)


Once again, Greta Thunberg has addressed a high-profile international event, excoriating the world’s leaders and global elites for their inaction in the face of the climate crisis. Once again, the responses to her speech ranged from hero-worship to character assassination.

Judah Grunstein is the editor-in-chief of World Politics Review. His WPR column appears every other Wednesday.

In evidenza

Will Conde’s Power Grab Trigger a Constitutional Crisis in Guinea? (World Politics Review)

Guinean President Alpha Conde arrives at a conference in Berlin, Germany.

Guinean President Alpha Conde announced plans in December to replace the country’s constitution via a referendum, a move that critics say will allow him to stay in power beyond the current two-term limit. Guinea’s existing constitution requires the 81-year-old Conde, who was first elected in 2010, to step down after finishing his second and final term later this year. But the proposed draft document is replete with vague language on term limits that would likely allow him to run for reelection. Conde has not stated explicitly whether he plans to do so, but many Guineans believe he is clearing a path to stay in power.

Lindsey Pruett is a doctoral candidate in government at Cornell University. Her research focuses on the development of coercive institutions in West Africa, primarily efforts to increase military and police capacity and the ability to tax citizens.

In evidenza

The Cost of Connectivity in Ammon, Idaho (New America)

In the late 2000’s, the Ammon City Council in Idaho recognized that private broadband providers alone were not meeting the city’s needs. In response, the city created its own fiber optic network, which now serves the government, businesses, and residents, transforming Ammon into one of the most affordable broadband markets in the country. Across the city, customers are logging into high-speed gigabit connections with advertised prices as low as $9.99/month—faster and cheaper than plans available to many of their neighbors in Idaho and around the country. The Ammon open access network demonstrates that local partnerships between an active municipal government and internet service providers can be successful in providing residents with affordable and reliable high-speed internet.

By  Becky Chao and  Lukas Pietrzak

In evidenza

The War on Talent (Project-Syndicate)

A growing body of research suggests that CEOs share more relevant traits with Chief Human Resources Officers than with those of any other C-Suite position. But while CHROs may have a seat at the table, that seat’s occupant – more often than not a woman – is still least likely to become CEO.

Anne-Marie Slaughter, a former director of policy planning in the US State Department (2009-2011), is CEO of the think tank New America, Professor Emerita of Politics and International Affairs at Princeton University, and the author of Unfinished Business: Women Men Work Family – Monica Chellam is Senior Director of Customer Experience at Udemy

In evidenza

Combating Child Labor in Global Supply Chains (Project-Syndicate)

According to the OECD, 28-43% of the child labor that is estimated to contribute to exports does so indirectly, through preceding links in supply chains (such as extraction of raw materials or agriculture). But with a holistic approach that engages governments, corporations, and civil society, the practice can be ended – and quickly.

Kailash Satyarthi, a Nobel Peace Prize laureate, is Honorary President of the Global March Against Child Labor and the founder of Bachpan Bachao Andolan (Save Childhood Movement).

In evidenza

Incorporating political risks into debt sustainability analysis (Bruegel)

DSA applies to crisis countries only, but an early warning system identifying vulnerabilities is relevant for all countries. A more general, less stringent, debt vulnerabilities analysis (DVA) could be used to assess countries’ debt management policies and identify vulnerabilities, without leading immediately to policy consequences. A more general framework could also incorporate political risks that are significant determinants of debt dynamics


In evidenza

Hebzollah Chief: “Kill Every American Soldier in the Middle East” (BESA Center)

Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah, chief of Tehran’s Lebanese proxy terror group Hezbollah, made a speech earlier this month encouraging the killing of every American soldier and officer in the Middle East. It is not every day that a terrorist leader expressly calls for the mass killing of Americans. Will Trump respond?


In evidenza

Denial of Citizenship as a Weapon of Repression in the Arab World (BESA Center)

Kuwait and Saudi Arabia recently announced that they were revoking the citizenship of individuals whose “sin” was a connection to Judaism and a pro-Israeli attitude. Apart from the institutional antisemitism these measures reflect, they are a blunt reminder that these are tyrannical states and regimes in which the legal system is little more than a fig leaf.


In evidenza

Moscow, Minsk can find solutions to oil and gas issue soon, says Russian ambassador (TASS)

Russia and Belarus can find optimal solutions to the oil and gas issues in the immediate future despite the persisting differences in the parties’ stances, Russian Ambassador to Belarus Dmitry Mezentsev told TASS on Thursday.

In evidenza

Iran, Pakistan agree to cooperate on Human Rights at world forums (IRNA)

Iran and Pakistan have agreed to enhance cooperation on human rights at all international forums while emphasizing the need for exchange of experiences among all Muslim states on human rights.

In evidenza

Virus attracts global efforts (Global Times)

The World Health Organization (WHO) is scheduled to convene a special meeting in Geneva, Switzerland on Wednesday to discuss whether the epidemic caused by a novel coronavirus detected in China and now spreading across the world should be declared a global emergency.

By Deng Xiaoci and Wang Qi

In evidenza

Smaller states bleed as giants fight on trade (Global Times)

Trade policy used to be the rather boring preserve of economic specialists. No longer so. Trade is now a crucial instrument of geoeconomic statecraft in which more than national prosperity is at stake. On the contrary, as the laboriously negotiated deal between the world’s two biggest economies demonstrates, deal-making involves questions of national prestige and even geopolitics. In the absence of outright, old-fashioned conflict, economic competition is where major international rivalries and tensions play out these days.

By Mark Beeson

In evidenza

Tariff war risk may go beyond economic loss (Global Times)

When US President Donald Trump announced he would be attending this year’s World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, many expected a toned-down version of the free trade-bashing Trump, whose tariff wars have caused serious damage to the world economy and the global value chain. After all, Trump had just completed what he boasted were the biggest trade deals ever made with China, Canada and Mexico.

In evidenza

Long-term tech rivalry expected despite phase one deal (Global Times)

Despite the signing of the phase one trade deal, US pressure on Chinese technology companies including Huawei has not lifted. The US Commerce Department sent regulations to the Office of Management and Budget that would restrict US companies’ sales to Huawei from their overseas facilities, according to a Wall Street Journal report citing people familiar with the matter.

By He Weiwen

In evidenza

US makes use of hybrid warfare technique to suit its interests in Mideast (Global Times)

The recent tit-for-tat confrontation between Iran and the US, during which the US killed Iranian general Qasem Soleimani and Iran retaliated by launching missile attacks on US military bases in Iraq, didn’t lead to a war between the two countries. Given the confrontation between the sworn enemies, the strategic impact on the Middle East and the change in the techniques of war deserve special attention.

By Liang Fang

In evidenza

The EU and Libya: Rediscovering a Realpolitik (Valdai Discussion Club)

The EU bureaucrats believe that the Berlin conference on Libya has won back the initiative to resolve the regional crisis in the Middle East. This is a fallacy. The key to resolving the problems of this region is no longer in Washington, Brussels or Berlin – but in Moscow, Ankara and Beijing.

Alexander Rahr

In evidenza

China-US Phase 1 Agreement: A Positive Spillover for the World (Valdai Discussion Club)

US President Donald Trump and Chinese Vice Premier Liu He have signed a Phase 1 trade deal. Cooperation between China and the USA is a necessary condition for the world economy to prosper, though not a sufficient one, Wang Yiwei, Director of the Institute of International Affairs and Centre for European Union Studies at Renmin University of China, told in an interview.

Wang Yiwei

In evidenza

The Social Global Commons: Is Global Inequality Solvable? (Valdai Discussion Club)

One of the key current trends in global politics is the gradual shift from ‘pure’ geopolitics and the hard/soft power of sovereign states to global problems (environmental, resource, demographic, and social). The past decade saw the term ‘global problems’ itself crystallize into a new concept, the Global Commons, understood in a narrowly environmental and a broader social sense. It is discussed both at the UN in the context of the Sustainable Development Goals and at various international venues. The 14th Annual Meeting of the Valdai International Discussion Club in October 2017 included a series of discussions of these subjects (The Conflict Between Man and Nature, The Conflict Between Rich and Poor, The Conflict Between Progress and Humanism).

Oleg BarabanovAnton BespalovXenia IbragimovaVasily KoltashovDmitry Poletaev

In evidenza

La fin de l’ère Poutine ? (IFRI)

Le Premier ministre russe Dmitri Medvedev a présenté mercredi 15 janvier au président Vladimir Poutine la démission de son gouvernement. Une annonce surprise après un discours du chef de l’État annonçant des réformes de la Constitution.

Vladimir Poutine est-il en train de créer les conditions de son maintien au pouvoir au-delà de son actuel mandat ? Où en est sa cote de popularité en Russie ? Quelle est la situation économique du pays ? Quel paysage politique et quelle(s) opposition(s) ? Quel est le bilan géopolitique pour le maître du Kremlin après l’annexion de la Crimée et tandis que le Moyen-Orient reste secoué par des crises multiples ?

Éléments de réponse avec Tatiana Kastouéva-Jean, directrice du centre Russie/NEI à l’IFRI, spécialisée sur les questions relatives à la Russie.

Tatiana KASTOUEVA-JEAN, invitée dans “Les experts du Dessous des cartes” sur ARTE

In evidenza

Economics Applied: A Global Commonwealth, If You Can Keep It (Hoover Institution)

Hoover Institution fellow Condoleezza Rice analyzes the opt-in international system that arose after World War II and how it fostered prosperity (starting at 2:40), Robert Staiger discusses the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) and the World Trade Organization (at 34:57), and Barry Eichengreen assesses the role of the International Monetary Fund (at 1:06:38). Finally, Kevin and Steve take stock of lessons learned (at 1:32:43).

interview with Condoleezza Rice, Robert Staiger, Barry Eichengreen
In evidenza

The Impeachment Handbook With John Yoo & Richard Epstein (Hoover Institution)

The impeachment proceedings against President Trump has now reached the Senate and to help our viewers navigate the legal and political issues surrounding it, Peter Robinson sits down with the Hoover Institution’s Visiting Fellow John Yoo and Senior Fellow Richard Epstein, two of the foremost legal scholars in the country. We cover the Articles of Impeachment submitted by the U.S. House of Representatives, the pluses and minuses of calling witnesses, the role of Chief Justice of the Supreme Court John Roberts in the proceeding, and whether or not President Trump should testify on his own behalf. Finally, Peter asks Epstein and Yoo for their vote predictions on conviction and acquittal and gets their predictions for the election in November.

In evidenza

Ed Lazear: Phase one deal with China very good news for US economy (CNBC)

Ed Lazear, former chairman of the President’s council of economic advisers from 2006 to 2009, discusses the phase one deal with China on “Closing Bell.”
In evidenza

Restoring Fiscal Order in the United States (Project-Syndicate)

The United States’ federal budget deficit is currently projected to explode, increasing the federal debt to unprecedentedly high levels. A very gradual fiscal consolidation, with federal spending as a share of GDP declining slightly each year, would both raise economic growth and create a more resilient economy.

John B. Taylor is Professor of Economics at Stanford University and Senior Fellow at Stanford’s Hoover Institution. His most recent book (with George P. Shultz) is Choose Economic Freedom.

In evidenza

On the cusp of change: North American wealth management in 2030 (McKinsey & Company)

The North American wealth-management industry will undergo meaningful changes in the next ten years, influenced by evolving customer segments and rules of engagement, rapid technological advances, and shifting competitive dynamics.

Pooneh Baghai is a senior partner based in McKinsey’s New York and Toronto offices; Alex D’Amico is a partner in the New York office, where Onur Erzan and Jill Zucker are senior partners and Vlad Golyk is an associate partner; Renee de la Roche Zhu is a consultant in the Toronto office.

In evidenza

Are You Undervaluing Your Customers? (Harvard Business Review)

The true purpose of a business, Peter Drucker said, is to create and keep customers. Most managers understand this, but few behave as if they do. Under relentless earnings pressure, they often feel cornered, obliged to produce quick profits by compromising product quality, trimming services, imposing onerous fees, and otherwise shortchanging their customers. This short-termism erodes loyalty, reducing the value customers create for the firm.

Rob Markey

In evidenza

The Future of American Foreign Policy (WEF)

Four years into the Trump presidency, how has the “America First” foreign policy doctrine transformed US leadership abroad?

Speakers: David M. Rubenstein, Jane Harman, Gideon Rose, Amos Yadlin

In evidenza

Gavi at 20: Lessons Learned from the World’s Leading Vaccine Alliance (WEF)

Since its creation in 2000 in Davos, Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance, has immunized 760 million children and saved more than 13 million lives, making it one of the most successful public-private partnerships to date. How can Gavi continue its impressive run and what lessons are to be learned to solve other inequalities?

Speakers: Felix Tshisekedi, Klaus Schwab, Sarita Nayyar, Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, Paul Hudson, Seth F. Berkley, Christopher J. Elias

In evidenza

What’s at Stake: The Arctic (WEF)

Ice is melting at a record rate in the Arctic, losing 20,000 square kilometres of cover per day. As emissions continue to drive the climate crisis and we begin deregulating protected areas, the Arctic region is at higher risk than ever before. What would it take to restore our planet’s climate regulator?

Speakers: Sanna Marin, Scott Minerd, Gabriel O’Donnell, Gail Whiteman, Elena Cherney, Al Gore


In evidenza

A History of Feminism in the West (WEF)

A century after the women’s suffrage movement, join classicist Mary Beard on a journey through the history of feminism in the Western world and the women who shaped it.

Speakers: Brian Schmidt, Mary Beard

In evidenza

Securing a Sustainable Future for the Amazon (WEF)

Amazonian nations are hard-pressed to secure economic opportunities and social stability in a context of slow commodity-led growth. Which approaches are most promising for developing sustainable markets that maintain livelihoods while securing the future of the Amazon forest?

Speakers: Jane Goodall, Mishal Husain, Al Gore, Carlos Afonso Nobre, Ivan Duque

In evidenza

Shaping an Inclusive Platform Economy (WEF)

Platform companies are leveraging big data and networks to disrupt across sectors while also offering new services, solutions and economic opportunities. How can platform conglomerates use their scale as a force for good?

Speakers: Daniel Zhang, Julie Sweet, Derek O’Halloran

In evidenza

The Power of Youth (WEF)

From the 2018 March for Our Lives fighting for gun control in the US to the Global Climate Strike in 2019, young people are mobilizing and increasingly influencing today’s most pressing political and environmental issues. How can these movements transform their will for change into action?

Speakers: Maxime Crettex, Berengere Fouqueray, Micah White, Naomi Wadler, Autumn Peltier

In evidenza

Election 2020: Foreign Policy and the Democratic Primaries (CFR)

Panelists provide an update on the 2020 presidential race, the role of foreign policy in the upcoming primaries, and the international challenges the Democratic presidential candidates will need to address if they are elected president.

Charles Cook

Editor and Publisher, The Cook Political Report; Columnist, National Journal

Senior Vice President, Director of Studies, and Maurice R. Greenberg Chair, Council on Foreign Relations; @JamesMLindsay

Margaret E. Talev

White House and Politics Editor, Axios; Political Analyst, CNN

Margaret G. Warner

Practitioner in Residence, School of International Service, American University; Member, Board of Directors, Council on Foreign Relations

In evidenza

Arthur Ross Book Award: “These Truths–A History of the United States” (CFR)

Presider Gideon Rose celebrates the winners of this year’s Arthur Ross Book Award: Jill Lepore, Andrew Roberts, and Max Hastings. Gold medalist Jill Lepore discusses why the United States needs a national history.

Jill Lepore

David Woods Kemper 41 Professor of American History, Harvard University; Staff Writer, New Yorker; Author, These Truths: A History of the United States; 2019 Arthur Ross Book Award Gold Medalist


Peter G. Peterson Chair and Editor, Foreign Affairs; Chair, Arthur Ross Book Award Jury

In evidenza

Forgetting Auschwitz (Project-Syndicate)

75 years after the liberation of the Nazi death camp at Auschwitz, anti-Semitism is again on the rise across the Western world. This trend – and the weak response to it – is a harbinger of democratic decay.

Ana Palacio is former Minister of Foreign Affairs of Spain and former Senior Vice President and General Counsel of the World Bank Group. She is a visiting lecturer at Georgetown University.

In evidenza

Building Cooperation in an Unsettled World (Project-Syndicate)

While the changing nature of global power may tempt some actors to seek advantage through confrontation, the expanding field of stakeholders offers the possibility of a course correction. With the geopolitics of the new era currently in flux, there is still an opportunity to steer the world toward cooperation and away from potentially damaging competition.

Børge Brende, President of the World Economic Forum, is an author of the new report Shaping a Multiconceptual World.

In evidenza

Finding Europe’s Way in the World (Project-Syndicate)

For historical reasons, Europe has long resided in the strategic shadow of the United States, which itself has underwritten decades of globalization and rapidly expanding prosperity. But the global balance of power is rapidly shifting, leaving Europe increasingly exposed.

Sigmar Gabriel, former Vice Chancellor and Foreign Minister of Germany, is Chairman of Atlantik-Brücke – Michael Hüther, Director and Member of the Presidium of the German Economic Institute, is a vice chairman of Atlantik-Brücke

In evidenza

Who Pays for the Green Deal? (Project-Syndicate)

As laudable as they are, the European Commission’s proposals for addressing climate change rely overwhelmingly on forms of financing that violate EU rules. Because the Commission is barred from assuming debt, the European Investment Bank will do so on its behalf, and the European Central Bank will ultimately be left holding the bag.

Hans-Werner Sinn, Professor of Economics at the University of Munich, was President of the Ifo Institute for Economic Research and serves on the German economy ministry’s Advisory Council. He is the author, most recently, of The Euro Trap: On Bursting Bubbles, Budgets, and Beliefs.

In evidenza

An Insight, An Idea with Jin Xing (WEF)

A conversation with choreographer and 2020 Crystal Awardee Jin Xing on her journey from male army colonel to one of China’s most influential female TV personalities

Speakers: Lord Tony Hall, Jin Xing

In evidenza

Free to Be (LGBTI) (WEF)

Fifty years after the Stonewall riots in New York and the birth of the gay liberation movement, LGBTI youth still face rejection and discrimination, resulting in high mental illness and suicide rates among LGBTI youth. How can schools and families contribute to safe and inclusive environments for all?

Speakers: Ana Mari Cauce, Shamina Singh, Wanuri Kahiu, Tonia Mastrobuoni, Xavier Bettel, Geena Rocero

In evidenza

World missed opportunity for dialog with Iran’s absence in WEF (IRNA)

World missed opportunity for dialog with Iran's absence in WEF

Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif has refused to take part in Davos for the third consecutive year after four years of participation which aimed to use the event as a chance to highlight Iran’s principled policy of dialog and mutual respect in dealing with world.

In evidenza

Pakistani PM highlights escalation in region in Davos (IRNA)

Prime Minister of Pakistan Imran Khan during a dialogue at World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, on Wednesday highlighted Pakistan’s efforts to de-escalate tensions in the region which according to him had helped to avoid possible conflict among some regional states.

In evidenza

Upper house speaker suggests Russian diplomats be banned from holding second citizenship (TASS)

Chairwoman of Russia’s Federation Council Valentina Matviyenko  Anton Novoderezhkin/TASS

The upper house speaker believes that the proposed amendments to the Russian Constitution put forth by President Vladimir Putin on prohibiting dual citizenship for top officials was an answer to a long overdue problem

In evidenza

Chinese vice premier calls for joint efforts to bolster economic globalization (Global Times)

Chinese Vice Premier Han Zheng here on Tuesday called on the international community to build an inclusive and open world economy and uphold multilateralism in support of economic globalization.

In evidenza

Chinese, Italian presidents hail opening of China-Italy year of culture and tourism (Global Times)

Chinese President Xi Jinping and Italian President Sergio Mattarella on Tuesday sent congratulatory letters to the opening of the China-Italy year of culture and tourism in the Italian capital of Rome.

In evidenza

This chart shows how the energy mix is failing in the fight against climate change (WEF)

Solar panels are seen during the inauguration of worldÕs first-ever 'island' of solar panels in a tailings pond of the Los Bronces copper mine of Anglo American, on the outskirts of Santiago, Chile March 14, 2019. REUTERS/Rodrigo Garrido - RC11E41FD140

  • The energy sector currently accounts for three-quarters of global greenhouse gas emissions.
  • The urgency of energy transition continues to be underestimated.
  • Economic growth is possible alongside reducing carbon emissions – as long as more renewables are included in the energy mix

 – Senior Writer, Formative Content

In evidenza

Prague’s Taipei move serves anti-China forces (Global Times)

Shanghai terminated its sister-city relationship with Prague on January 14 after the Czech capital signed a sister-city agreement with Taipei of Taiwan island. In contempt of the joint statement on establishing a strategic partnership between China and the Czech Republic, Prague authorities openly challenged the one-China principle on major issues involving China’s core interests, prompting the Chinese side to naturally react. The culprit in such a situation is the unreliable “anti-China” mayor of Prague.

By Gao Jian

In evidenza

Can China copy ‘iPhone model’ with Tesla? (Global Times)

At the beginning of 2020, co-founder and CEO of Tesla Elon Musk received two gifts: Tesla stocks hit record prices and the company gained the ability to raise low-interest-rate funds. Both gifts were “made in China” benefits.

In evidenza

The Great Indo-Pacific Race (WEF)

The Indo-Pacific region has become the epicentre of global trade and commerce, with bordering countries producing almost 60% of global GDP and contributing nearly 70% to global growth. With strategic competition over trade and security architectures heating up, how will the region transform the global economy?

Speakers: Luhut B. Pandjaitan, Paula J. Dobriansky, Suresh Prabhakar Prabhu, John R. Allen, Wei Sun Christianson

In evidenza

Debunking the Migration Myth (WEF)

Migrants represent more than 3% of the world’s population and contribute nearly 10% of global GDP, yet public perception of migration is increasingly polarized. How can the power and potential of including migrants in the economy shift attitudes?

Speakers: Alessandra Galloni, Sara Pantuliano, Mohamad Al Jounde, Achim Steiner

In evidenza

Who Gets to Tell the Story of the Afghanistan War? (Defense One)

Soldiers assigned to the 101st Resolute Support Sustainment Brigade load onto a Chinook helicopter to head out and execute missions across Afghanistan, Jan. 15, 2019.

The Washington Post’s ‘Afghanistan Papers’ is the latest contribution to a growing argument over whether the conflict — or any of the ‘forever wars’ — was worth the cost.


In evidenza

Toward Common Metrics and Consistent Reporting of Sustainable Value Creation (WEF)

At the 2017 Annual Meeting in Davos, CEOs from the World Economic Forum International Business Council (IBC) issued the “Compact for Responsive and Responsible Leadership”, which has been signed by more than 140 CEOs. The Compact states that “society is best served by corporations that have aligned their goals to the long‑term goals of society,” and it identifies the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) as the roadmap for that alignment.

In evidenza

Passwordless Authentication: The next breakthrough in secure digital transformation (WEF)

Cybercrime is set to cost the global economy $2.9 million every minute in 2020 and some 80% of these attacks are password-related. Knowledge-based authentication – whether with PINs, passwords, passphrases, or whatever we need to remember – is not only a major headache for users, it is costly to maintain. For larger businesses, it is estimated that nearly 50% of IT help desk costs are allocated to password resets, with average annual spend for companies now at over $1 million for staffing alone.

Passwordless authentication does not mean removing all security barriers to our digitalized society. It means harnessing technologies such as artificial intelligence and machine learning to save users time and save company-money.

This paper sheds light on the importance of authentication in digital transformation efforts, introduces a framework for future authentication systems and presents five key passwordless technologies available for use.

In evidenza

Accelerating the Impact of Industrial IoT in Small and Medium‑Sized Enterprises: A Protocol for Action (WEF)

Small and Medium Sized Enterprises (SMEs) are critical to the global economy; however, they are losing ground in the Fourth Industrial Revolution. SME contribution to US GDP fell nearly five percentage points from 1990 to 2014, the latest year. This trend should alarm policymakers, particularly in emerging markets where smaller companies are the primary drivers of economic opportunity and social mobility, creating 90% of new jobs, according to the International Trade Center.

To help SMEs keep up with the pace of technological change in the Fourth Industrial Revolution, the World Economic Forum has launched this paper. It details how policymakers can deliver on a more inclusive Fourth Industrial Revolution and make sure that SMEs are not left behind.

In evidenza

Shaping a Multiconceptual World (WEF)

The 50th anniversary of the World Economic Forum coincides with a period of profound global change. These events prompted the Forum to draw on its network of diverse experts – heads of leading global think tanks and research institutions – to develop a new report, Shaping a Multiconceptual Worldwhich presents 10 chapters that explore the emerging shape of geopolitics.

In evidenza

Nature Risk Rising: Why the Crisis Engulfing Nature Matters for Business and the Economy (WEF)

Nature loss is a planetary emergency. Humanity has already wiped out 83% of wild mammals and half of all plants and severely altered three-quarters of ice-free land and two-thirds of marine environments. One million species are at risk of extinction in the coming decades – a rate tens to hundreds of times higher than the average over the past 10 million years.

In evidenza

Forging a Sustainable Path towards a Common Future (WEF)

Carbon emissions from fossil fuels hit a record high in 2019 – yet another sign that we are betraying future generations who will increasingly need to adapt to a warmer and more volatile world. How can the passion of today’s youth activism inspire positive change in behaviours that respect the needs and rights of future citizens?

Speakers: Salvador Gómez-Colón, Natasha Mwansa, Edward Felsenthal, Greta Thunberg, Autumn Peltier

In evidenza

A Future Shaped by a Technology Arms Race (WEF)

The Fourth Industrial Revolution is redefining global competitiveness and strategic competition in multiple domains. What can be done to ensure that economies and societies benefit fully from the great potential of promising new technologies?

Speakers: Zanny Minton Beddoes, Ren Zhengfei, Yuval Noah Harari

In evidenza

Averting a Climate Apocalypse (WEF)

Global emissions of carbon dioxide remain on course to rise above 1.5°C despite clear and present risks. How can business and government work together to accelerate the fast and far-reaching changes this goal requires?

This session was developed in partnership with the New York Times.

This session contributes to the work of the Forum’s Alliance of CEO Climate Leaders, Mission Possible Platform and the Natural Climate Solutions Alliance.

Speakers: Ma Jun, Hindou Oumarou Ibrahim, Rajiv Shah, Rebecca Blumenstein, Oliver Bäte, Greta Thunberg

In evidenza

An Insight, An Idea with Deepika Padukone and Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus (WEF)

Join a conversation between Deepika Padukone, internationally acclaimed actor and Crystal Awardee, and Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, Director-General of the World Health Organization, on ending the stigma surrounding mental illness.

Speakers: Deepika Padukone, Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus

In evidenza

Stakeholder Capitalism: What Is Required from Corporate Leadership? (WEF)

Speakers: Jim Hagemann Snabe, Klaus Schwab, Ginni Rometty, Marc Benioff, Feike Sybesma, Brian T. Moynihan

In evidenza

Middle class income growth is lagging the rich and the poor—how much is due to healthcare subsidies? (Brookings)

Middle class income growth is lagging the rich and the poor—how much is due to healthcare subsidies?

Isabel V. Sawhill and Christopher Pulliam

In evidenza

Abuse of power, obstruction: The charges against Trump explained (Al Arabiya)

The US Senate on Tuesday may begin to hear opening arguments in an impeachment trial to determine whether to remove President Donald Trump from office on charges that he abused his power and obstructed Congress in its investigation of his dealings with Ukraine.
The following explains the two charges, or “articles of impeachment,” approved by the US House of Representatives.


In evidenza

Top 10 Iran protest videos (Al Arabiya)

Iranians have been staging audacious protests against the government after it admitted to shooting down a Ukrainian airliner, killing all 176 people, having denied responsibility for several days.

Tommy Hilton, Al Arabiya English

In evidenza

Lebanon will slide into violence unless the elite chooses political reform (Al Arabiya)

Lebanon risks sliding into prolonged chaos and violent conflict unless the political elite manages to update the post-civil war political system based on sectarian power-sharing.

Ryan Bohl (@Ryan_Bohl) is a Middle East and North Africa analyst at Stratfor.

In evidenza

The fight against inequality starts from the streets, not Davos (Al Jazeera)

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen speaks during the opening of the 50th World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland on January 20, 2020 [Reuters/Denis Balibouse]

The 1 percent does not have solutions for our system of inequality because they are its primary beneficiaries.

In evidenza

Why the Outlook for Global Economic Growth Remains Fragile in 2020 (World Politics Review)

A man works in a metal workshop in Hangzhou, Zhejiang province, China

Trade disruptions and sluggish investment helped drive global economic growth last year to its lowest level since the Great Recession. Even with the recent cease-fire in the U.S.-China trade war, the World Bank expects only a modest uptick in growth globally in 2020—if trade tensions don’t flare back up and spook investors again. These are among the key conclusions of the Bank’s latest Global Economic Prospects report.

Kimberly Ann Elliott is a visiting scholar at the George Washington University Institute for International Economic Policy, and a visiting fellow with the Center for Global Development.


In evidenza

Why Fighting Corruption Is Key in a ‘New Era of Great-Power Competition’ (World Politics Review)

A protest in Guatemala City against President Jimmy Morales shutting down the CICIG anti-corruption commission.

The Trump administration is due to soon formally release its findings from a review of U.S. foreign assistance programs, aimed at “realigning” them for “a new era of great-power competition,” which critics have described as an effort to curb foreign aid overall. Given this context, aid and development organizations must be prepared to show how their work serves America’s strategic interests. Anti-corruption efforts do just that by striking at the heart of what keeps leaders of adversaries like China and Russia in power.

Patrick Quirk is the senior director of research, strategy, and the Center for Global Impact at the International Republican Institute and a nonresident fellow in the Foreign Policy Program of the Brookings Institution. Previously, he served as a member of the U.S. Secretary of State’s Policy Planning Staff.

Eguiar Lizundia is the associate director for technical advancement at the International Republican Institute.


In evidenza

Can there be any winners in the US­–China ‘tech war’? (IISS)

In the same week that the Trump administration signed a ceasefire agreement in its trade war with China, it intensified its major campaign against Huawei 5G, explains Greg Austin. Can the United States win this so-called ‘tech war’?

Greg Austin


In evidenza

Iranian, Oman FMs stress two countries’ strategic ties (IRNA)

Iranian, Oman FMs stress two countries' strategic ties

The Foreign Ministers of Iran and Oman emphasized the fraternal, privileged and strategic relations of the two countries and discussed and exchanged views on the latest regional developments.

In evidenza

Russian official urges US to refrain from anti-NPT measures (IRNA)

Russian official urges US to refrain from anti-NPT measures

Russia’s Permanent Representative to the International Organizations in Vienna and the International Atomic Energy Agency Mikhail Ulyanov in a message on Tuesday urged the US to refrain from measures against the Non-Proliferation Treaty or NPT.

In evidenza

Russia to live-fire S-400 anti-aircraft missile systems during drills in April (TASS)

As part of the preparations for the exercise, the anti-aircraft gunners will be required to accomplish assignments within specified time limits in the basic disciplines of missile firing, technical, tactical and special training

In evidenza

The Berlin Conference on Libya: Fragile Hopes (Valdai Discussion Club)

On January 19, an international conference on the situation in Libya was held in Berlin, during which, at the invitation of Chancellor Angela Merkel, representatives of a number of interested states took part – Algeria, Great Britain, Germany, Egypt, Italy, China, the United Arab Emirates, the Republic of Congo, Russia, the USA, Turkey, France, as well as representatives of international organisations and associations – the United Nations, the African Union, the European Union and the League of Arab States. Fayez al-Sarraj, Chairman of the UN-recognised Government of National Accord (GNA), and Field Marshal Khalifa Haftar, Commander-in-Chief of the Libyan National Army (LNA), were invited to participate in the meeting.

Grigory Lukyanov

In evidenza

Stepping Up NATO’s Presence in the Black Sea Region: Causes and Consequences (Valdai Discussion Club)

The stepping up of NATO’s military presence in the Black Sea region has been observed since at least 2014. It has been implemented as part of a broader agenda related to the aggravation of relations between Russia and the West, and the deterrence policy adopted by the Alliance. Activity affecting the Black Sea region has historically been somewhat overshadowed by the standoff in the Baltic region. In particular, in the south, there is no direct land border between Russia and any of the NATO member states. Nevertheless, Romania is in the Black Sea region, which is one of the main lobbyists of the deterrence policy against Russia. It is no coincidence that when NATO Secretary General met with the leader of this country, ritual words were said about the strategic importance of the Black Sea region.

Igor Istomin

In evidenza

US-Iran: What’s Next in This Conflict? (Valdai Discussion Club)

With Iran’s “tit for tat” policy in attacking the American military bases in Iraq after the assassination of Major General Gassem Soliemani, the commander of Iran’s Quds force, it seems that both Iran and the U.S. have entered a de-escalation phase.

Kayhan Barzegar

In evidenza

Berlin Conference: A Step Forward on a Thousand Miles Road (Valdai Discussion Club)

The Berlin conference on the Libyan crisis was held on January 19th. The conference is one in a series of international meetings on Libya, which have taken place in Paris, Palermo, Abu Dhabi and Moscow, where talks were held on January 13th. Although it is not the first conference to address the crisis, it has been the most important so far, due to several considerations.

Nourhan ElSheikh

In evidenza

US Sanctions Against Iran: New Escalation (Valdai Discussion Club)

Escalation of the US-Iranian conflict in early January 2020 led to yet another wave of American sanctions against Iran. Washington avoided a military response to Iran’s ballistic missile attacks on US military facilities in Iraq. Tehran positioned these attacks as a reply to the murder of General Qassem Soleimani. Tension seriously exacerbated. However, eventually the Americans decided against using force but instead increased pressure on Iran with more sanctions.

Ivan Timofeev

In evidenza

Trump avant son procès en destitution : and so what ? (IFRI)

Les audiences de Donald Trump devant le Sénat commenceront le 21 janvier. Le président devra répondre des charges d’impeachment qui pèsent contre lui, à quelques mois des élections, lors desquelles il sera candidat à sa propre succession… Analyse avec Laurence Nardon, directrice du programme Amérique du Nord à l’Ifri

Laurence NARDON, invitée de Fabienne Sintes dans “Un jour dans le monde” sur France Inter

In evidenza

L’expansion des zones urbaines en Afrique n’est ni planifiée, ni contrôlée (IFRI)

L’Afrique du Sud, où se trouve actuellement le chercheur Thierry Vircoulon, n’est pas prêt de sortir de son marrasme économique, même si les milieux d’affaires réclament des réformes. L’urbanisation qui est à l’oeuvre est également une réalité sur tout le continent, mais elle s’effectue le plus souvent dans une forme d’anarchie.

Thierry VIRCOULON, interview parue dans Les Echos. Propos recueillis par Michel De Grandi

In evidenza

Pompeo’s remarks confirm US meddles in independent countries’ affairs, says diplomat (TASS)

On Monday, US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said in an interview with Colombia’s Caracol TV that the United States’ objective was to make Venezuela’s President Nicolas Maduro step down
In evidenza

The paradox of stagnant real wages yet rising ‘living standards’ in the UK (VOX)

Real wages and productivity in the UK have stagnated since 2007, whereas employment has risen considerably. Many commentators lament the consequent failure of `living standards’ to rise at historical rates. But real GDP per capita has grown by more than 20% since 2000 despite the Great Recession, so aggregate living standards have in fact risen. This column resolves the apparent paradox.

Jennifer Castle, David Hendry, Andrew Martinez

In evidenza

Central bank independence at risk: Low rates, new risks (VOX)

Real interest rates are at historically low levels in advanced economies. This column looks at the implications for central bank independence. It argues that low rates, even though they relax the budget constraint of the public sector, will not necessarily strengthen central bank independence. Quite counterintuitively, in the current context of low inflation, preserving central bank independence may require that the public deficit be financed with helicopter money, rather than government debt, to prevent the government from entering into uncontrollable spending.

Jean Barthélemy, Eric Mengus, Guillaume Plantin

In evidenza

Seigniorage through periodic recoinage: When the validity of money was restricted in time (VOX)

For almost 200 years, old coins were frequently declared invalid in large part of medieval Europe and had to be exchanged for new ones for an exchange fee. This column shows that frequent recoinage generates incomes for the minting authority when the tax level is low enough and the punishment for using invalid coins is high enough, and when there is a limited coin volume in circulation and also an exchange monopoly. The system is equivalent to the 20th-century idea known as the Gesell tax.

Roger Svensson, Andreas Westermark

In evidenza

Russia Prepares for New Tandemocracy (Carnegie Moscow Center)

Putin’s proposed amendments to various roles amount to something resembling an insurance policy, which suggests that the president has already decided who his successor will be, though he may not name that person for another three years.

Tatiana Stanovaya

In evidenza

BIT not related to phase one trade deal (Global Times)

The China-EU bilateral investment treaty (BIT) negotiations and the China-US phase one trade deal are unrelated. Drawing connections between the two is nonsensical. The Europeans will not adopt a hard-line stance against China simply because China and the US have inked a trade deal. Despite this, it is true that a tougher attitude toward China has become a trend for the EU.

By He Zhigao

In evidenza

The Killing of Soleimani Will Not Stop Iranian Aggression (BESA Center)

The killing by the US of Quds Force commander Qassem Soleimani will not temper Tehran’s intention to continue its aggressive regional policy, either directly or through its proxy organizations. Israel would do well to continue the cautious policy that has characterized its surgical military strikes against Iran’s entrenchment in Syria.

Dr. Raphael G. Bouchnik-Chen is a retired colonel who served as a senior analyst in IDF Military Intelligence.

In evidenza

International Law and the Downing of Ukraine International Airlines Flight 752 (BESA Center)

Iran’s prevarications about its responsibility for the shooting down of Ukrainian International Airlines Flight 752 during the recent escalation of tensions with the US magnify its culpability and could lay it open to reparations claims by Canada, Ukraine, Sweden, and the UK, all of which lost citizens in the disaster.

By  and 

In evidenza

Mainstream Democrats failed the impeachment process (Al Jazeera)

Now, it is time for the progressives to take over and put forward a new political alternative.

Haider A Khan is a professor of economics at the Josef Korbel School of International Studies, University of Denver – Aaron Schneider is associate professor at the Josef Korbel School of International Relations, University of Denver

In evidenza

Putin’s constitutional reforms could lead to his political demise (Al Jazeera)

Putin has decided to stay forever in power. But as a result he may have to leave earlier than he hopes for.

Roman Dobrokhotov is a Moscow-based journalist and civil activist. He is the editor-in-chief of The Insider.

In evidenza

Trump’s Backward March on Trade (Project-Syndicate)

After three years of the Trump administration, the economic costs of “America First” are continuing to mount, with global trade and GDP growth slowing and investment in decline. Ironically, the biggest loser has been America.

Anne O. Krueger, a former World Bank chief economist and former first deputy managing director of the International Monetary Fund, is Senior Research Professor of International Economics at the School of Advanced International Studies, Johns Hopkins University, and Senior Fellow at the Center for International Development, Stanford University.


In evidenza

A Data Revolution for All (Project-Syndicate)

It has now been almost two decades since the original launch of DATA, a platform that marshaled $100 billion in debt forgiveness for poor countries, and another $50 billion in contributions for health and development. In a world with more data and data-science expertise than ever, it’s time to revive that innovative spirit.

Michael Froman, US Trade Representative during President Barack Obama’s administration, is Vice Chairman and President of Strategic Growth at Mastercard – Rajiv Shah is President of The Rockefeller Foundation

In evidenza

Walking the Talk of Stakeholder Capitalism (Project-Syndicate)

Corporate governance is undergoing a sea change, as the longstanding principle of “shareholder primacy” gives way to broader concerns. But recognition of social, environmental, governance, and data stewardship issues is not enough; company boards must also figure out how to integrate shareholder value with corporate responsibility.

Richard Samans is a managing director of the World Economic Forum and Chairman of the Climate Disclosure Standards Board –  Jane Nelson is Director of the Corporate Responsibility Initiative at Harvard Kennedy School

In evidenza

The Terrorism Paradox (Project-Syndicate)

As the number of deaths from terrorism in Western Europe declines, public alarm about terrorist attacks grows. But citizens should stay calm and not give governments the tools they increasingly demand to win the “battle” against terrorism, crime, or any other technically avoidable misfortune that life throws up.

Robert Skidelsky, a member of the British House of Lords, is Professor Emeritus of Political Economy at Warwick University. The author of a three-volume biography of John Maynard Keynes, he began his political career in the Labour party, became the Conservative Party’s spokesman for Treasury affairs in the House of Lords, and was eventually forced out of the Conservative Party for his opposition to NATO’s intervention in Kosovo in 1999.

In evidenza

Eight countries support a European-led naval mission in Hormuz: France (Al Arabiya)

A European-led naval mission in the Straits of Hormuz – a vital shipping route for world transport that has been impacted by military tensions in the Middle East – has won more political support from countries, said the French government on Monday.

In evidenza

New gov’t needed urgently to avoid collapse: Lebanon’s Hariri (Al Arabiya)

Lebanon needs to urgently form a new government to get out of a cycle of collapse that has repercussions for the country’s economic and security situation, caretaker Prime Minister Saad Hariri tweeted on Monday.

In evidenza

The paradoxes in Nord Stream-2 pipeline (Global Times)

The Nord Stream-2 is a planned 1,230-kilometer-long pipeline from Russia’s Ust-Luga to Germany’s Lubmin near Greifswald. Scheduled to be complete in 2020 and designed to deliver another 55 billion cubic meters of natural gas to Germany per year, the pipeline has become a sticking point in relations between the West and Russia.

By Wang Xiaoguang

In evidenza

How can the US sell more goods to China? (Global Times)

After China and the US signed the phase one trade agreement, many friends from Europe, Southeast Asia and Japan asked me for my views. Different from the Chinese public which pays more attention to Chapter 4 “Financial Services” of the agreement, foreign elites are more concerned about Chapter 6 – “Expanding Trade.”

By Wang Wen

In evidenza

A Stable Countryside for a Stable Country? The Effects of a DCFTA with the EU on Tunisian Agriculture (SWP)

 Agriculture is central to the stability of Tunisia’s economy and society. The new Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Agreement (DCFTA) under negotiation with the EU offers opportunities for the agricultural sector, but also presents risks for the country as a whole.

 Within Tunisia there is strong emotional resistance to the DCFTA. Its intensity is comparable to the strength of feeling against the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) in Germany a few years ago.

 In addition to criticisms of specific topics in the talks, a string of issues fuel this categorical rejection: wariness of European dominance; negative experiences with transformations in the agricultural sector, especially in relation to land ownership; as well as the tradition – prevalent across North Africa – of securing food security through protectionist trade policy.

 Sustainability impact assessments demonstrate positive welfare effects on growth and standard of living – but many concerns about ecological and social repercussions appear justified. Such negative effects can be avoided through concrete solutions within the agreement, and even better through appropriate Tunisian policies.

 The EU can address the categorical rejection by almost all stakeholders in Tunisia through better communication during negotiations. As well as appealing for commitment and responsibility on the Tunisian side, it will be important to approach Tunisian sensitivities with awareness and respect.

 Above all, Tunisian researchers should be more involved in DCFTA sus­tainability impact assessments and participate in public debate on these studies.

 Regardless of the success or failure of the talks, Tunisian agriculture needs to be promoted and developed. The organic sector offers great ex­port opportunities and attractive employment opportunities for young people.

Bettina Rudloff

In evidenza

How Angola’s Isabel dos Santos stole a fortune: ICIJ documents (Al Jazeera)

Businesswoman and daughter of ex-president dismisses Luanda Leaks as ‘witch-hunt’ meant to discredit her and her father.

In evidenza

Zarif: Iran to leave NPT in case of EU referral to Security Council (IRNA)

Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif said on Monday that Iran will leave the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty if Europeans insist on their unjustifiable behavior or refer the nuclear issue to the UN Security Council.

In evidenza

Czech president lauds Putin as strong political personality, saying only ‘fools’ deny it (TASS)

Speaking about the development of the Russian political system and Vladimir Putin’s next moves, Zeman speculated that Putin has three options he can choose from in the upcoming years

In evidenza

Iran informed Iraq of missile attacks in advance: MFA spox (IRNA)

Spokesman of Iran’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs Abbas Mousavi said on Monday that Tehran had Informed Iraqi government in advance about Iran’s retaliatory missile attacks on two US bases in Iraq.

In evidenza

EU must consider ways to support ceasefire in Libya: Borrell (Al Arabiya)

The European Union will discuss all ways to uphold a formal ceasefire in Libya if one is reached but any peace settlement will need real EU support to make it hold, the EU’s top diplomat Josep Borrell said on Monday.

In evidenza

Lebanon president to chair crisis talks over weekend violence (Al Arabiya)

Lebanon’s under-fire president is set to meet Monday with top security officials to discuss rare violence over the weekend that left hundreds wounded in the protest-hit country.

In evidenza

Khalifa Haftar shows diplomatic skill as Libya conflict sucks in world powers (Al Arabiya)

No one, it seems, was able to reason with Khalifa Haftar. If the idea was for an impressive cast of big hitters to apply enough pressure to bring the 76-year-old Libyan military commander to heel, it didn’t work.

In evidenza

New York Times endorses Warren, Klobuchar as Democrats to take on Trump (Al Arabiya)

The New York Times has endorsed not one but two candidates for the Democratic nomination for president, Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar from the party’s moderate wing and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren from the progressive wing.

In evidenza

Iran says it remains in nuclear deal, EU claims “Unfounded” (Al Arabiya)

Iran said on Monday that it had not closed the “door to negotiations” in efforts to resolve a dispute over its nuclear agreement with world powers that has escalated steadily since the United States withdrew from the deal in 2018.

In evidenza

No more arms: World powers pledge to halt Libya weapon transfers (Al Jazeera)

Reports of arms, troops, and cash flooding into Libya from foreign allies have sparked concerns of further bloodshed.


In evidenza

China’s lending benchmark LPR unchanged in January (Global Times)

China’s new lending benchmark loan prime rate (LPR) is unchanged in January, suggesting the country hopes to avoid an overly loose monetary policy while remaining cautious about non-performing loans amid an economic slowdown, experts told the Global Times on Monday.

In evidenza

Did Putin Just Appoint Himself President for Life? (Carnegie Moscow Center)

President Putin’s unexpected proposals this week to change the Russian constitution prompted the instant resignation of the Russian government. What’s he trying to achieve, and will he succeed?

Dmitri Trenin

Alexander Baunov

Andrei Kolesnikov

Tatiana Stanovaya

In evidenza

A Green Deal will not work without refocusing productivity (VOX)

The new president of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, has announced a ‘European Green Deal’ and the Commission has asserted Europe’s need to develop a new growth model to achieve climate neutrality. However, the Commission’s limited view of ‘productivity’ ignores the fact that raising labour productivity can raise emissions and accelerate climate change. Instead, this column argues that a welfare-oriented Green Deal needs to focus on resource and energy productivity, not raising labour productivity.

Karl Aiginger

In evidenza

Refugees and foreign investment: Quasi-experimental evidence from the US Refugee Resettlement Program (VOX)

In evidenza

Russian Economic Policy and the Russian Economic System: Stability Versus Growth (Chatham House)

How is it possible for the directors of the Russian economy to pursue an orthodox stabilization policy with a great measure of success and yet to have achieved so little to stem the growth slowdown? This paper examines the reasons for the divergence in economic management.

Professor Philip Hanson OBE

In evidenza

Asian States Must Rethink Their Approach to Digital Governance (Chatham House)

Too many governments in the region are focusing on control and surveillance instead of citizens’ rights.

Vasuki Shastry

In evidenza

Undercurrents: Episode 43 – The UK Election, and Svyatoslav Vakarchuk on the Future of Ukraine (Chatham House)

The team discuss the implications of the UK general election, and Ben meets Ukrainian opposition politician Svyatoslav Vakarchuk, founder of a new political party, Golos.

Thomas Raines, Head, Europe Programme, Chatham House
Svyatoslav Vakarchuk, Politician, Musician and Activist
Agnes Frimston, Deputy Editor, The World Today
Ben Horton, Communications Manager, International Affairs

In evidenza

China narrowing gap with US as consumption market grows (Global Times)

As the world has transformed from being a seller’s market to being a buyer’s one, which values consumption, China has become one of the major consumer markets for propelling global economic growth, with a narrowing gap with the world’s biggest consumer market – the US.

In evidenza

Drawing connections between BIT, phase one trade deal makes no sense (Global Times)

It makes no sense to draw connections between the China-EU bilateral investment treaty (BIT) negotiations and the China-US phase one trade deal.

By He Zhigao

In evidenza

Reforms dictate Russian president’s move to change PM (Global Times)

Shortly after Russian President Vladimir Putin delivered his annual state-of-the-nation address to the Federal Assembly Wednesday in Moscow, Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev announced that the entire Russian government was resigning. And a new prime minister – Mikhail Mishustin, head of the country’s tax service, was nominated by Putin.

By Li Yonghui

In evidenza

The “Democratic Bloc” of the Eastern Med Cements Its Friendship (BESA Center)

2020 is expected to be another year of fruitful cooperation for Israel, Greece, and Cyprus, which are working together to counter rising instability caused by Turkey. Their recent agreement to commit to the construction of the EastMed pipeline opens a new chapter in a friendship they have worked on for over a decade. They are taking steps to obtain American support for the trilateral scheme despite Washington’s concerns about its potential impact on the US’s long-term partnership with Ankara. Notably, the recent killing by the US of Quds commander Qassem Soleimani found Greece standing by its allies, the US and Israel, though that position risks undermining its relations with Iran.


In evidenza

The Battle for Libya: The UAE Calls the Shots (BESA Center)

Last week’s inauguration of a new Egyptian military base on the Red Sea was heavy with the symbolism of the rivalries shaping the future of the Middle East as well as north and east Africa.


In evidenza

The Leviathan Natural Gas Field Could Be a Game-Changer for Israel-EU Relations (BESA Center)

The vast Leviathan natural gas field off the Haifa coast could be a game-changer for Israel’s relations with the EU. Europe is currently dependent on Russian natural gas. A reliable and price-competitive natural gas alternative in the Mediterranean could diminish Moscow’s ability to use energy supplies as a political weapon against Europe.


In evidenza

Cinque punti (fondamentali): a-centrici e a-dogmatici (Marco Emanuele)

(pubblicato su in data 19 gennaio 2020)

L’impianto dei cinque punti, dei principi/culturale/politico-istituzionale/economico/giuridico, costituisce la base su cui costruire la nostra ricerca.
Pur se ciascuno dei cinque punti riguarda un ambito particolare, non è quella particolarità che lo rende “compiutamente” tematico; la compiutezza, infatti, è una tensione, un percorrere l’oltre e non è mai raggiungibile. Per tale ragione, in questa ricerca ciascuno dei cinque punti è a-centrico: se uno “conta” più di altri “sfugge” al disegno complessivo e i pesi relativi diventano pesi assoluti. Nel disequilibrio tra i punti, che sono poteri, ognuno di essi tenderebbe a espandersi per conquistare ruoli non propri e per riempire i vuoti che dovessero formarsi: così facendo, maturerebbe una sorta di onnipotenza dei singoli poteri ed è per questo che val bene considerare i cinque punti, oltre che a-centrici, anche a-dogmatici.
Nel momento in cui un potere si colloca al centro diventa inevitabilmente dominante. E ne va dell’armonia in formazione, costruzione fragilissima e mai pre-determinabile.
Il dominio ciclico di un potere sugli altri è un tratto tipico della realtà umana. Avviene in moltissime situazioni e la “sostituzione” di un potere dominante a un altro è un processo sempre più veloce e profondo (dell’economia sulla politica, della finanza sull’economia reale e così via). Nel porsi al centro, un potere cerca di condizionare tutti gli ambiti della convivenza umana: si pensi, richiamando l’economia, all’”esondazione” della competizione (e non della naturale competizione data dalle differenti appartenenze) fin nei nostri rapporti personali.

Lavorare sull’a-centricità dei punti, e dunque dei poteri, è tutt’altro che un gioco intellettuale ma è una scelta che si riflette, in maniera decisiva, sulla qualità delle nostre vite. Per cercare progressivamente di sfuggire alla (naturale) “tentazione centrica”, un lavoro necessario riguarda la “relativizzazione” dei singoli punti-poteri. Nel cercare ossessivamente una collocazione al centro della Storia, inevitabilmente ogni potere si radicalizza nel suo pensarsi indispensabile per le sorti comuni dell’umanità; relativizzarsi, dunque, consente a ogni potere di comprendere il “valore laico” del “comune”, spazio che non può essere occupato da “religioni umane” (i poteri radicalizzati in una presunzione centrica) ma che può evolvere soltanto attraverso il contributo non eludibile (necessario ma non sufficiente) di ogni punto-potere.

La relativizzazione dei punti-poteri guarda nel profondo e li “vincola” a (ri)flettersi nella propria essenza con “occhio mistico” per (ri)trovarne le potenzialità nei limiti. Camminando nell’oltre, ci rendiamo conto che condizione prima della sostenibilità, parola utilizzata anche a sproposito, è la consapevolezza da parte di chi detiene ogni potere del “disporre” di una “potenza limitata” e, in quanto tale, finalizzata alla costruzione dinamica del “comune”. Che lo si voglia o meno, chi scrive sottolinea l’importanza di un percorso di lavoro verso un “progetto di civiltà”.

In evidenza

Cominciare un cammino nell’oltre (Marco Emanuele)

(pubblicato su, 18 gennaio 2020)

Con uno sguardo ampio e profondo, il nostro è un cammino nel “presente storico” verso un “progetto di civiltà”. Gli analisti, in fondo, sono fotografi di realtà. La nostra ambizione è di essere altro, (ri)legatori.

Quando trionfa l’individualismo, un individualismo “cattivo”, è inevitabile che si pongano in discussione i legami sociali, che l’altro rappresenti un problema o, per meglio dire, che ciascuno di noi si illuda di “incarnare” la soluzione. Partiamo da qui, da una espressione volutamente polemica (il pensiero non è tale se non è polemico), per dire che – immersi in un cambio di era – siamo perduti se “lasciamo correre” il sentimento del sentirci parte di un destino comune.

(Ri)legatori, dunque, sono tutti coloro che credono nel legame; ciò comporta che ciascuno può (ri)trovare sé stesso solo in una inter-in-dipendenza sostanziale. Sentirsi “legati” all’altro, al pianeta e al cielo, per qualcuno può rappresentare un pericolo, una sorta di prigione soffocante. E, invece, è in quel legame che evolve la vera libertà, principio di liberazione.

Poniamo, in questo percorso di ricerca, temi fondamentali e temi trasversali.

Partiamo da cinque temi fondamentali che vanno considerati, al contempo, in maniera distinta (non separata) e interrelata, nella loro inter-in-dipendenza:

  • il tema dei principi. Ci domandiamo quali siano le possibilità storiche di realizzazione delle potenzialità dei cosiddetti “valori”;
  • il tema culturale. Guardiamo a un pensiero in grado di portarci dentro, nel profondo, delle complessità del tempo storico nel quale siamo immersi;
  • il tema politico-istituzionale. Snodo verso un progetto di civiltà, la politica riveste una importanza strategica. Dovremmo cominciare a domandarci di quale politica parliamo, quale ne sia la natura in metamorfosi nel tempo dell’innovazione dilagante e pervasiva. Altresì, occorre lavorare sulla metamorfosi dello Stato nazionale e della democrazia rappresentativa;
  • il tema economico. Come entrano in metamorfosi il pensiero economico e il capitalismo ? E, ancora, possiamo soddisfarci di una unica forma di capitalismo ?;
  • il tema giuridico. Oggi acquista grande rilevanza il tema delle regole rispetto alla planetarizzazione delle sfide. Le difficoltà di mediazione tra il livello nazionale dello Stato e della democrazia e il livello planetario delle sfide impongono il ripensamento dei sistemi di regole.

Rispetto ai temi traversali, ci sembra importante focalizzare l’attenzione su ciò che il “futuro già presente” porta nelle nostre vite. In tal modo, guardando all’impianto complesso sopra evidenziato in termini fondamentali, i (ri)legatori diventano visionari.

Se l’analisi non basta più, importante quanto semplicistica fotografia di un “presente imminente”, occorrono sia una capacità di mediazione più profonda (il “mestiere” dei (ri)legatori) che il talento della visione per percorrere l’oltre che è già in noi ma che ancora non vediamo (l’emergente nell’evidente).

Il mondo è l’anima delle nostre preoccupazioni. La geopolitica, qui intesa come un processo dinamico di lettura e di narrazione del mondo, è ciò che comprende il resto e che, partendo dal mondo, ci aiuta a capirne le dinamiche che, oggi più che mai, sono caratterizzate da velocità e radicalità.

I temi trasversali riguardano: il fattore umano-ecologico-tecnologico; il fattore religioso; il mondo in tre mondi (connettività & innovazione / conflitti & muri / disagio & disuguaglianze); il rischio nelle sue varie forme; i beni culturali e il loro rilancio in chiave geoterritoriale.

Ciascuno di tali temi trasversali porta con sé molti approfondimenti possibili. Vorremmo ragionarne nella loro integrazione e in chiave progettuale, delineando un percorso senza una fine ma con il fine di costruire un mosaico complesso di realtà e di noi in essa.

In evidenza

Major General: Iran not interested in creating tension in region (IRNA)

Chief of Staff of the Iranian Armed Forces Major General Mohammad Baqeri in a telephone conversation with Turkey’s Defense Minister Hulusi Akar said that Iran has no interest in creating tension in the region, but it will react rigidly to any irrational or aggressive act.

In evidenza

US faces pressure to increase exports (Global Times)

China promised a $200 billion increase in purchases of US goods and services over two years. China’s trade surplus with the US is indeed too large. Much of China’s foreign currency has been spent on purchasing US treasury bonds. This is not an ideal trade-financial structure in the long run. Moving toward a trade balance is a healthier direction for China-US economic cooperation.

In evidenza

Acceleration promise won’t derail financial opening-up agenda (Global Times)

While enormous attention has been focused on how much China promises to buy under the phase one deal, another major part of the US-China agreement – financial services – may have far more implications for both markets in terms of the amount of capital involved.


In evidenza

2020, the year of living dangerously (Global Times)

The beginning of a new decade has a happy ring to it – a feeling of turning a page, of starting anew, of a fresh impetus. Yet, this year of the rat according to the Chinese calendar looks ominous, one in which the world will face many daunting challenges.

By Jorge Heine

In evidenza

Soleimani’s killing strengthens Putin’s hand in Syria and Iraq (Al Jazeera)

In the latest US-Iran escalation, Russia sees new opportunities to expand its influence in the Middle East.


In evidenza

The battle of ‘resistance’ vs ‘revolution’ in the Middle East (Al Jazeera)

The clash between the ‘resistance’ and ‘revolutionary’ movements will define the Middle East in the future.

In evidenza

Trafficking risk high for hundreds of migrants sent back to Libya (Thomson Reuters Foundation News)

Aid workers say they have first-hand testimony of migrants being sold to traffickers after being taken to Libyan detention centres

By Nellie Peyton

In evidenza

Philippines volcano: UN stands ready with support, as thousands told to flee (UN News)

The UN is concerned over warnings issued by Philippines’ authorities that volcanic eruptions on the country’s most populous island could last “days, months or even years”.

In evidenza

Why Is China Pressing Indonesia Again Over Its Maritime Claims? (World Politics Review)

China sparked a major maritime confrontation with Indonesia near the South China Sea last month when dozens of Chinese fishing vessels, along with a coast guard escort, entered waters off the Natuna Islands, which are within Jakarta’s exclusive economic zone but are also claimed by China.

In evidenza

How Would a Military Drawdown Affect U.S. Engagement in Africa? (World Politics Review)

Last month, The New York Times reported that the U.S. Department of Defense was considering “a major reduction—or even a complete pullout—of American forces from West Africa.” The proposal is part of a worldwide review of overseas U.S. deployments, based on the Trump administration’s strategic framework of refocusing resources away from counterterrorism missions and toward competition with adversarial great powers like China and Russia. But for many observers, it was just the latest troubling sign of American disengagement from Africa.

The Editors

In evidenza

What Does the ‘Phase One’ U.S.-China Trade Deal Actually Accomplish? (World Politics Review)

With the signing of a “phase one” trade deal Wednesday, the United States and China have finally pressed pause on their protracted trade war. At a White House signing ceremony that was attended by Chinese Vice Premier Liu He, President Donald Trump called the pact a “sea change in international trade.” But what does it actually accomplish?

In evidenza

China’s Policies Toward Hong Kong and Taiwan Are Driving a Slow-Motion Catastrophe (World Politics Review)

In order to understand the mounting tensions in both Taiwan and Hong Kong over their relationships with mainland China, one must abandon the usual time frames of weeks, months or at most a handful of years and instead imagine the scenarios that open up over decades—five decades, to be precise. Over the next 50 years, interlocking dreams and nightmares will hang even more heavily over Taiwan, which Beijing considers a breakaway province, and Hong Kong, over which Beijing wants to assert more direct control, with possibly tragic outcomes.

In evidenza

For Migrants and Refugees, Greece Has Become Hostile Territory (World Politics Review)

The last dog days of summer are usually quiet in Athens. Most people leave for their summer holiday, scattering to beaches looking out over azure waters or mountains filled with wildflowers. Only a few dazed tourists remain behind to wander the city.

In evidenza

In Oman, Sultan Qaboos Leaves a Legacy of Nonalignment. Can His Successor Keep It? (World Politics Review)

For years, a cloud hung over a corner of the Middle East, containing fears of yet another conflict suddenly erupting. They centered on what would happen after the death of the longest reigning monarch in the Gulf, Sultan Qaboos bin Said, who ruled over the Sultanate of Oman for half a century without leaving behind an heir apparent. Qaboos had been ill for years, and yet, if you tried to gently broach the subject of his successor with Omani citizens, they would recoil. The sultan had set up a system for succession and everyone knew it. But no one knew if it would work.

In evidenza

Iran Is Ready for the Next Great War in the Middle East (The National Interest)

Tehran has the initiative to attack from the direction of its choosing—or several directions simultaneously—while confronting defenders with the Sisyphean task of providing 360-degree protection.

by Jonathan Ruhe

In evidenza

Get Ready for the Economic ‘Frustflation’ of the 2020s (The National Interest)

The Federal Reserve of the United States is struggling to find ideas on how to increase—not decrease—inflation.

by Samuel Rines

In evidenza

The Crown Prince of Iran Pitches Regime Change to Washington (The National Interest)

The neoconservative Hudson Institute hosted the son of Iran’s late Shah. He painted a picture of Iran on the brink of collapse—and presented a plan to manage the coming “implosion” with a “minimum of casualties.”

by Matthew Petti

In evidenza

The Simple Reason Why America Could Lose the Next Cold War to Russia or China (The National Interest)

To win the new Cold War, the United States must tap its private-sector technological superiority. Victory is not possible, however, if the Pentagon continues to rely on antiquated, clunky, and counterproductive processes.

by Michael Rubin

In evidenza

China’s Long History of Punishing People Who Didn’t Commit Crimes (The National Interest)

Beijing’s part-time hobbies include building “silk” roads and arbitrarily detaining foreign nationals.

by Mark Fitzpatrick

In evidenza

The U.S.-China Relationship Is At a Crossroads (The National Interest) (The National Interest)

If tensions between the United States and North Korea bubbled up to the surface circa 2017, would Trump consider the option to take out a member of the North’s senior military or political leadership? Would one of those targets be Kim Jong-un himself?

by Daniel R. DePetris

In evidenza

The U.S.-China Relationship Is At a Crossroads (The National Interest)

Some decoupling of interdependence is likely, particularly in areas related to technology that directly affect national security. But will Washington and Beijing go too far?

by Joseph S. Nye Jr

In evidenza

Judy Asks: Should NATO Stay Away From the Middle East? (Carnegie Europe)

A selection of experts answer a new question from Judy Dempsey on the foreign and security policy challenges shaping Europe’s role in the world.



In evidenza

Text of phase one deal balanced, fair: experts (Global Times)

The phase one trade agreement between China and the US reflected what Chinese officials have long stressed – that any deal must be balanced and fair and include initiatives that, if properly executed, could help address disputes and avoid further confrontation, Chinese analysts said on Thursday.

By Wang Cong and Ma Jingjing

In evidenza

China may demand the US remove tariffs before phase two talks: expert (Global Times)

China will need time to assess the just-signed phase one trade agreement and other complicating factors before launching negotiations with the US for a phase two agreement. US officials, including Vice President Mike Pence, who claim the talks are already underway may be getting ahead of themselves, a government advisor said on Thursday.

By Ma Jingjing and Wang Cong

In evidenza

Russia’s latest minesweeper passes through Black Sea straits in Mediterranean deployment (TASS)

After the warship passes through the Black Sea straits, it will join the Russian Navy’s permanent Mediterranean Squadron, according to the Black Sea Fleet
In evidenza

Pres. Rouhani: Iranians more powerful than before in dealing with US sanctions (IRNA)

President Hassan Rouhani censured Thursday the American officials who follow wrong planning against Iran, stressing that the Iranian nation has become stronger and more powerful in dealing with the US sanctions and plots.

In evidenza

Iran, China form joint counter-narcotics committee (IRNA)

Iran and China have set up a committee on better coordination for drug prevention and drug treatment services and also fighting narcotics activities, a senior Iranian official said on Thursday.

In evidenza

Zarif calls for Europe’s change of behavior towards Iran, JCPOA (IRNA)

Iran’s Minister of Foreign Affairs Mohammad-Javad Zarif said in a meeting with European Union Minister for Foreign Affairs Josep Borrell that the three European members of Iran Deal should change their behavior towards Iran and the JCPOA.

In evidenza

Pakistani FM begins diplomatic offensive at UN to ease regional tensions (IRNA)

Foreign Minister of Pakistan Shah Mahmood Qureshi kicked off his diplomatic offensive to de-escalate tensions in the Persian Gulf by holding important meetings with the United Nations leadership in New York to discuss the issue.

In evidenza

Baeidinejad: No reason to replace JCPOA with Trump’s deal (IRNA)

Iran’s Ambassador to London Hamid Baeidinejad rejected British Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s proposal to replace JCPOA with Trump’s deal, saying that until the time JCPOA exists, there is no reason for a new agreement.

In evidenza

Planning for a (Not-So) Post-Putin Russia (Carnegie Moscow Center)

Of the constitutional reforms put forward by Putin, what will really change a lot is the proposal to give the Russian constitution—including repressive Russian legislation—priority over international law. This violation of the usual hierarchy is nothing short of a legal revolution.

Andrei Kolesnikov

In evidenza

Forget Hitler: War and Diplomacy in the 21st Century (Valdai Discussion Club)

The US-Iran clash, regardless of how the exchange of strikes in January will culminate, is definitely a new type of war in a new international setting.

Timofei Bordachev

In evidenza

The Black Sea Region as a Zone of Geopolitical Confrontation (Valdai Discussion Club)

The Black Sea region is becoming more and more subject to geopolitical and geo-economic confrontation.

Konstantin Kurylev

In evidenza

From Deniability to Discipline. Valdai Club Experts Discuss the Situation in the Middle East (Valdai Discussion Club)

On Tuesday, January 14, the Valdai Discussion Club hosted an expert discussion, titled “US-Iran: The Limits of Escalation”. In addition to Iranian issues, the experts discussed in detail the situation in Libya. As a result of recent events, these two countries are now in the focus of Middle East experts.

In evidenza

Senator Rubio blind to fact that Tibet is a part of China (Global Times)

US Senator Marco Rubio made absurd comments on China again, condemning “blatant human rights violations” in China on Tuesday after the government of Southwest China’s Tibet Autonomous Region legislated to guarantee ethnic unity.

By Yu Jincui

In evidenza

China can support Myanmar for win-win benefits (Global Times)

This week Chinese President Xi Jinping will pay a state visit to Myanmar which will be his first in 2020. This is the first Chinese president to visit Myanmar in almost 20 years. Former Chinese president Jiang Zemin paid a state visit in 2001. In the interlude, China became a world power, shaping global investments especially via the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) in which Myanmar is also an important participant.

By Aung Tun

In evidenza

Demand justifies potential rise in energy imports from US (Global Times)

Even with “black swans” circling global energy markets, China’s crude oil imports recorded a steady increase last year, a sign that the country’s hunger for energy products is far from satiation.


In evidenza

Showdown unlikely in Tsai’s 2nd term: expert (Global Times)

Taiwan regional election concluded Saturday with Tsai Ing-wen being re-elected the leader of the island. How should Beijing ensure the “one-China” principle is upheld and continue to hold the initiative in guiding cross-Straits relations? The Global Times (GT) invited mainland expert Wang Zaixi (Wang), former deputy director of the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council, and Douglas Paal (Paal), vice president for studies at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace of the US, to comment on these issues.


In evidenza

Mahmoud Abbas As a Strategic Threat (BESA Center)

The diplomatic campaign Mahmoud Abbas has been waging for a decade and a half is no less dangerous to Israel than the “armed struggle” led by Hamas and Islamic Jihad in the Gaza Strip. With the growing influence of Iran and the advent of a new array of threats on Israel’s borders to the north and south, renewing negotiations with Abbas on the basis of the Barak-Olmert framework would entail an existential threat to Israel.


In evidenza

How Israel Should Fend Off the ICC (BESA Center)

The International Criminal Court (ICC) at the Hague has an abysmal record. It has few convictions, yet in the 17 years of its existence has spent more than $1.5 billion. The ICC’s decision to investigate supposed Israeli war crimes is a largely political ruling. Israel should confront the court by exposing that its multiple deficiencies far exceed its merits.



In evidenza

Photo-Ops Notwithstanding, Iran Faces the US Alone (BESA Center)

Iran is now assessing whether it should retaliate further against the US for the targeting of Qassem Soleimani, and if so, how. Its relationships with Russia and Turkey might look warm, but they are troubled. Neither is likely to leap to Tehran’s side in its clash with the US. Israel should exploit Iran’s fissures with Russia and Turkey to its advantage.


In evidenza

How Qassem Soleimani Forced Donald Trump Back into the Middle East (BESA Center)

Qassem Soleimani was emboldened by the US administration’s failure to respond to repeated Iranian efforts to destabilize the Persian Gulf—so much so that he felt it was safe to attack Americans directly in Iraq. President Trump, who so recently was eager to leave the Middle East, ordered the killing of Soleimani in retaliation—drawing the US back into the Middle East.


In evidenza

Susan Rice Wants Congress to Have the War Powers It Was Denied in 2011 (The National Interest)

Rice said that she would “ban foreign policy by tweet” and restore regular press briefings.

by Matthew Petti

In evidenza

The U.S. Military Is Now Occupying Iraq. Its Time To Leave (The National Interest)

The administration’s current stubborn insistence on keeping American troops in Iraq exhibits several damaging patterns of thought.

by Paul R. Pillar

In evidenza

Make Data Safe Again: How to Tackle Dangerous Hackers (The National Interest)

Porous firewalls and after-the-fact hack-notifying dashboards have failed time and time again. With or without federal support, companies need to pursue alternative manners to protect and track their data.

by Caspian Tavallali

In evidenza

Zarif: Regional tensions a true reflection of US ignorance (IRNA)

Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif said on Wednesday that assassination of General Soleimani and increase of tensions in the region are reflection of US’ ignorance and arrogance.

In evidenza

Meet the House Republicans Who Want to Rein In Trump On War (Defense One)

After the Soleimani strike, a working group of moderate Republicans and Democrats trying to “clarify” Congress’s war responsibilities hope they can build momentum.


In evidenza

The Pentagon Must Replace Some Hackable Computer Chips (Defense One)

Last year’s vulnerability revelations, combined with the tardiness of manufacturers’ responses, leave the military with an expensive choice


In evidenza

Putin says raising citizens’ income level is main task for government, Central Bank (TASS)

Raising the level of incomes of Russian citizens is the main task of the government and the Central Bank, President Vladimir Putin said in his State of the Nation Address to the Federal Assembly.