China’s Great Stagnation (Dan Blumenthal, Derek M. Scissors, The National Interest)

China’s economy is stalling. The most likely economic scenario over the course of the next decade is not high growth or an economic collapse, but stagnation. American policymakers need to pay attention.

The Real Reason American Businesses Aren’t Taking Risks—And Aren’t Growing (Milton Ezrati, The National Interest)

Today’s lack of spending threatens the economy’s long-term, fundamental productive potential.

Gene Editing and Seed Stealing (Chee Yoke Ling, Edward Hammond, Project-Syndicate)

Four hundred years ago, John Rolfe used tobacco seeds pilfered from the West Indies to develop Virginia’s first profitable export, undermining the tobacco trade of Spain’s Caribbean colonies. More than 200 years later, another Briton, Henry Wickham, took seeds for a rubber-bearing tree from Brazil to Asia – via that great colonialist institution, London’s Royal Botanic Gardens – thereby setting the stage for the eventual demise of the Amazonian rubber boom.

The Populist War on Women (Sławomir Sierakowski, Project-Syndicate)

Jarosław Kaczyński and Donald Trump, two politicians who have shocked the world this past year, have mostly gotten away with their outrages. But not anymore.

A Wave Election in America? (Elizabeth Drew, Project-Syndicate)

With the world mesmerized by the United States’ presidential race this year, the race for control of the US House of Representatives and the Senate has been largely overlooked. But the outcome of the congressional elections could make or break the next president’s agenda.

Victory in the Mosul offensive will not solve Iraq’s problems (Ranj Alaaldin, The Guardian, Brookings)

After years of training and preparation, the operation to liberate Mosul, the last remaining stronghold of Isis in Iraq, has begun. Over the coming weeks, if not months, the western-led coalition both on the ground and in the skies will almost certainly signal the end of Isis’s control of territory in Iraq and will be the death knell of the so-called caliphate.

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/oct/17/victory-isis-iraq-offensive-mosul?CMP=share_btn_tw

Is Hezbollah less dangerous to the United States? (Daniel L. Byman, Brookings)

Get terrorism analysts around a bar (always a disturbing scene) and ask them which group is most formidable, and you’re likely to get a surprising answer. It’s not the Islamic State, or even al-Qaida and its various affiliates. Rather, it’s the Lebanese Hezbollah, often darkly praised as the “A-Team” of terrorist groups, and the regularly trumpeted threat the group poses.