Kaliningrad—A Key Factor in the Kremlin’s Calculations on Belarus (The Jamestown Foundation)

Commentators in Russia and the West have often focused on the geopolitics of the Belarusian situation, arguing that Moscow wants a friendly regime in Belarus in order to expand its military presence there and thus be in a position to project power into Central Europe and deeper westward. Moreover, the Kremlin allegedly fears that the establishment of a pro-Western regime in Minsk would have the effect of pushing Russia further to the east, further isolating the latter from the outside world (see EDM, October 23, 2018 and May 3, 2016).


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