Maintaining a self-sufficient defence-industrial complex has long been an uphill struggle for Russia – and recent sanctions have only steepened its climb.
The grand coalition will continue to be a kind of caretaker government in its lack of a big foreign policy vision.
Turkey and Syria are now at war – but the ultimate arbiter of what happens next is likely to be Vladimir Putin.
Comparing the US “peace plan” for Israel-Palestine with ECFR’s own work on future parameters illuminates how Donald Trump is departing from longstanding international consensus positions.
Some elected officials in Tehran are concerned that the security forces are gaining too much control over the political decision-making process. But reformists have been stymied by missteps of their own, as well as by US policy.
The odds that the UK and the EU will reach full, or even much, agreement within the breakneck timetable imposed by London do not look good.
EU member states need to turn their declarations of intent about international cooperation on technological sovereignty into real projects.
The G5 Sahel has an excessive focus on security issues, as this has come at the expense of the political and governance issues it must deal with to truly stabilise the region.
Even if the new government intends to introduce significant reforms, the elite will more than likely block any measures that challenge entrenched interests.
Emmanuel Macron should not shrink from addressing Poland’s democratic backsliding when he visits next week – and other EU leaders should quickly follow his lead.