Engager le dialogue au Sahel : à Pau un revirement stratégique est nécessaire (ICG)

La France et ses partenaires du G5 Sahel se réunissent à Pau lundi 13 janvier pour réaffirmer leur engagement à lutter ensemble contre le terrorisme jihadiste. Pourtant, la réponse militaire n’est pas suffisante. Face à l’ampleur de la menace, il est donc nécessaire de trouver une solution politique.

https://www.crisisgroup.org/fr/africa/sahel/engager-le-dialogue-au-sahel-pau-un-revirement-strategique-est-necessaire

Jean-Hervé Jezequel

Managing Trafficking in Northern Niger (ICG)

Trafficking – a catch-all term for illicit movement of goods and people – has long sustained livelihoods in northern Niger. But conflicts are emerging due to heightened competition and European pressure to curb migration. Authorities should persevere in managing the extralegal exchange to contain violence.

https://www.crisisgroup.org/africa/sahel/niger/285-managing-trafficking-northern-niger

Seizure of Parliament Plunges Venezuela into Deeper Turmoil (ICG)

The government of Nicolás Maduro has seized control of Venezuela’s parliament, robbing the opposition of its platform for negotiating a way out of the country’s political crisis. An already long, damaging conflict could drag on if outside powers cannot persuade the government to reverse course.

https://www.crisisgroup.org/latin-america-caribbean/andes/venezuela/seizure-parliament-plunges-venezuela-deeper-turmoil

Steadying the New Status Quo in Syria’s North East (ICG)

A tumultuous month in north-eastern Syria has left a tense standoff among the regime, Turkey and the YPG, mediated by Russia and, to some degree, still the U.S. All parties should respect the ceasefire as the regime and YPG negotiate more stable long-term arrangements.

https://www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-north-africa/eastern-mediterranean/syria/b72-steadying-new-status-quo-syrias-north-east

La Tunisie se rend aux urnes dans un contexte délétère (ICG)

Le premier tour de l’élection présidentielle anticipée tunisienne aura lieu ce dimanche 15 septembre. Selon l’analyste principal de Crisis Group sur la Tunisie, Michael Ayari, les risques de déraillement du processus électoral et de violences sont réels.

https://www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-north-africa/north-africa/tunisia/la-tunisie-se-rend-aux-urnes-dans-un-contexte-deletere

Michaël Béchir Ayari

Seven Opportunities for the UN in 2019-2020 (ICG)

The UN General Assembly kicks off on 17 September amid general scepticism about the world body’s effectiveness in an era of rising great-power competition. But the UN is far from paralysed. Here are seven crisis spots where it can make a positive difference for peace.

https://www.crisisgroup.org/global/002-seven-opportunities-un-2019-2020

Iran Briefing Note #13 (ICG)

Iran Briefing Notes highlight and provide context for the previous week’s major events featured on International Crisis Group’s Iran-U.S. Trigger List. This infographic resource tracks developments on key flashpoints between Iran, the U.S. and their respective allies in the Middle East.

https://www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-north-africa/gulf-and-arabian-peninsula/iran/iran-briefing-note-13

Ukraine-Russia Prisoner Swap: Necessary, Not Sufficient (ICG)

A long-awaited prisoner exchange between Ukraine and Russia marks a positive development in their bilateral relationship. Both countries should now build on their recent progress to implement the 2014-2015 Minsk agreements, the surest path to ending the war in eastern Ukraine.

https://www.crisisgroup.org/europe-central-asia/eastern-europe/ukraine/ukraine-russia-prisoner-swap-necessary-not-sufficient

 

Behind Trump’s Taliban Debacle (ICG)

On 8 September, U.S. President Donald Trump made the startling announcement that he had invited Taliban leaders to Camp David for talks – and then cancelled the gathering. Crisis Group Asia Program Director Laurel Miller and consultant Graeme Smith explain what happened and what it means for prospects of ending Afghanistan’s war.

https://www.crisisgroup.org/asia/south-asia/afghanistan/behind-trumps-taliban-debacle