Antagonizing the Neighborhood: Putin’s Frozen Conflicts and the Conflict in Ukraine (ICG)

In this testimony before the U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Foreign Affairs, Crisis Group expert Olesya Vartanyan analyses the conflict dynamics in Abkhazia and South Ossetia, the breakaway territories from Georgia recognised as independent by Russia, and explains how Washington can promote stability there.

https://www.crisisgroup.org/united-states/antagonizing-neighborhood-putins-frozen-conflicts-and-conflict-ukraine

Olesya Vartanyan

Imagining a Resolution of Venezuela’s Crisis (ICG)

Venezuela’s political showdown appears deadlocked. President Nicolás Maduro remains firmly in place over a year after the opposition behind Juan Guaidó mounted its campaign to supplant him. The gap between the sides is wide, but conversations with pragmatists reveal the outlines of a potential compromise.

https://www.crisisgroup.org/latin-america-caribbean/andes/venezuela/79-imagining-resolution-venezuelas-crisis

Easing Syrian Refugees’ Plight in Lebanon (ICG)

Most Syrian refugees in Lebanon have thought many times about going home but in the end deemed the risks too great. Donors should increase aid allowing the Lebanese government to continue hosting the Syrians, so that any decision they make to leave is truly voluntary.

https://www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-north-africa/eastern-mediterranean/lebanon/211-easing-syrian-refugees-plight-lebanon

 

Cameroon: Elections Raise Prospect of Further Ruling-party Dominance (ICG)

With a boycotting opposition and low expected turnout in conflict-affected Anglophone regions, Cameroon’s ruling party should win big in forthcoming elections. In this Q&A, Crisis Group expert Arrey Ntui explains why that result means dialogue about the country’s crises will have to happen outside parliament.

https://www.crisisgroup.org/africa/central-africa/cameroon/cameroon-elections-raise-prospect-further-ruling-party-dominance

Arrey Elvis Ntui

Eight Priorities for the African Union in 2020 (ICG)

The African Union has been taking a larger role of late in addressing questions of peace and security on the continent. Our annual survey identifies eight situations where the organisation’s timely intercession could help resolve, mitigate or ward off conflict

https://www.crisisgroup.org/africa/african-union-regional-bodies/b151-eight-priorities-african-union-2020

The Eleventh Hour for Idlib, Syria’s Last Rebel Bastion (ICG)

The Syrian regime’s deliberate but devastating campaign to retake Idlib has picked up in intensity, threatening death and displacement at levels unseen in Syria’s conflict, terrible as it has been to date. Damascus and its Russian backers must conclude an immediate ceasefire with rebel forces.

https://www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-north-africa/eastern-mediterranean/syria/eleventh-hour-idlib-syrias-last-rebel-bastion

Navigating the Storms at the UN Security Council (ICG)

Tensions are mounting among the permanent five members of the UN Security Council. After a series of rows over the Middle East, and with further disputes on the horizon, the five should convene a September summit as proposed by France and Russia to contain their differences.

https://www.crisisgroup.org/global/navigating-storms-un-security-council

Richard Gowan

CrisisWatch. Tracking Conflict Worldwide (ICG)

CrisisWatch is our global conflict tracker, a tool designed to help decision-makers prevent deadly violence by keeping them up-to-date with developments in over 80 conflicts and crises, identifying trends and alerting them to risks of escalation and opportunities to advance peace.

https://www.crisisgroup.org/crisiswatch/february-alerts-and-january-trends-2020

The Price of Peace: Securing UN Financing for AU Peace Operations (ICG)

The African Union is best positioned to send peacekeepers to the continent’s various war zones. But it often lacks the funds available to the UN’s blue helmets. A compromise over co-financing peacekeeping missions would serve the conflict prevention goals of both institutions.

https://www.crisisgroup.org/africa/286-price-peace-securing-un-financing-au-peace-operations

Watch List 2020 (ICG)

Crisis Group’s early-warning Watch List identifies up to ten countries and regions at risk of conflict or escalation of violence. In these situations, early action, driven or supported by the EU and its member states, could generate stronger prospects for peace. The Watch List 2020 includes a President’s Note and detailed conflict analyses on Bolivia, Burkina Faso, the Democratic Republic of Congo and the Great Lakes region, Ethiopia, the U.S.-Iranian impasse, ISIS returnees, Libya, Sri Lanka, Tunisia and Ukraine.

https://www.crisisgroup.org/watch-list-2020