Will U.S. Sanctions Snapback Force Iran Out of the NPT? (CSIS)

As U.S. Special Representative for Iran Brian Hook made clear in his recent Wall Street Journal op-ed, if the United States fails to secure an extension to the arms embargo against Iran that expires in October, it is willing to try and force the reimposition of UN sanctions on Iran.

https://www.csis.org/analysis/will-us-sanctions-snapback-force-iran-out-npt

China’s Response to the Killing of Soleimani (BESA Center)

China and Iran have a close relationship, but Beijing’s influence over Tehran is questionable. Its response to the killing of Iranian Quds Force commander Qassem Soleimani  offers clues to its view of its own role in the Middle East.

https://besacenter.org/perspectives-papers/china-soleimani-killing/

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Reformists are dispirited and hard-liners resurgent ahead of Iran’s election (ECFR)

Some elected officials in Tehran are concerned that the security forces are gaining too much control over the political decision-making process. But reformists have been stymied by missteps of their own, as well as by US policy.

https://www.ecfr.eu/article/commentary_reformists_are_dispirited_and_hard_liners_resurgent_ahead_of_ira

Ellie Geranmayeh

Iran and Muqtada al-Sadr’s alliance against the revolution in Iraq (openDemocracy)

Iraq’s uprising is unmasking all the sectarian leaders attempting to ride the revolutionary wave.

https://www.opendemocracy.net/en/north-africa-west-asia/iran-and-muqtada-al-sadrs-alliance-against-the-revolution-in-iraq/

Zeidon Alkinani

Limits of the US-Iran Conflict (Valdai Discussion Club)

The US-Iran relationship seems more contradictory than any other in the modern world. Over the past few years, Washington and Tehran have moved from the settlement of a basic conflict, the lifting of sanctions and the first steps towards the resumption of diplomatic relations back to the brink of war and military attacks on each other’s vital assets. This confrontation has lasted for 40 years, which makes it one of the longest-running in modern history. For Iran, it is a birthmark of its statehood, which has a formative influence on both its foreign policy and government strategy as a whole.

https://valdaiclub.com/a/highlights/limits-of-the-us-iran-conflict/

Andrey Sushentsov